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Economic indicators are snippets of financial and economic
data published by various agencies of the government
or private sector. These statistics, which are made
public on a regularly scheduled basis, help market observers
monitor the pulse of the economy. Therefore, they are
religiously followed by almost everyone in the financial
markets. With so many people poised to react to the
same information, economic indicators in general have
tremendous potential to generate volume and to move
prices in the markets. While on the surface it might
seem that an advanced degree in economics would come
in handy to analyze and then trade on the glut of information
contained in these economic indicators, a few simple
guidelines are all that is necessary to track, organize
and make trading decisions based on the data.
Know exactly when each economic indicator is due to
be released. Keep a calendar on your desk or trading
station that contains the date and time when each stat
will be made public. You can find these calendars on
the N.Y. Federal Reserve Bank Web site using this link
http://www.ny.frb.org/, and then by searching for "economic
indicators." The same information is also available
on many other sources on the Web or from the company
you use to execute your trades.
Keeping track of the calendar of economic indicators
will also help you make sense out of otherwise unanticipated
price action in the market. Consider this scenario:
it's Monday morning and the USD has been in a tailspin
for three weeks. As such, it's safe to assume that many
traders are holding large short USD positions. However,
on Friday the employment data for the U.S. is due to
be released. It is very likely that with this key piece
of economic information soon to be made public, the
USD could experience a short-term rally leading up to
the data on Friday as traders pare down their short
positions. The point here is that economic indicators
can effect prices directly (following their release
to the public) or indirectly (as traders massage their
positions in anticipation of the data.)
Continued
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